Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús

Lanus

1 - 0

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Quinonez Y.

15'

Guidara T.

45'

Carrera R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Lanus

15%

Draws

64%

LDU Quito

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to LDU Quito lately — more wins on the board than Lanus.
64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
LDU Quito arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Lanus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Lanus Clean Sheet 14%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lanus	LDU Quito
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	12	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.72
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito vs Lanus

2:0

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Lanus vs LDU Quito

1:0

Aug 22, 2024 Copa Sudamericana

Lanus vs LDU Quito

3:1

Aug 15, 2024 Copa Sudamericana

LDU Quito vs Lanus

1:2

Oct 1, 2009 Copa Sudamericana

Lanus vs LDU Quito

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardozo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

LDU Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 31 / 100

LDU Quito 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lanus LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

LDU Quito let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Lanus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS LDU Quito

0.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)

29 Aug

Boca Juniors

1 : 0

Lanus

25 Aug

Lanus

1 : 1

Argentinos Jrs

17 Aug

Lanus

1 : 3

Independiente

12 Aug

Talleres Cordoba

0 : 3

Lanus

06 Aug

Union de Santa Fe

2 : 1

Lanus

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LDU Quito

(Away)

29 Aug

Guayaquil City

2 : 1

LDU Quito

26 Aug

LDU Quito

1 : 0

Aucas

24 Aug

LDU Quito

2 : 0

Emelec

20 Aug

LDU Quito

1 : 0

Mirassol

17 Aug

Aucas

0 : 1

LDU Quito

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