Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanus vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina
Lanus Logo

Lanus

4 - 1
FT
Sarmiento de La Banda Logo

Sarmiento de La Banda

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Guzman G.
44' Event
Moreno M.
(Penalty)
45'
Castillo R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Lanus
15%
Draws
20%
Sarmiento de La Banda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sarmiento de La Banda haven't matched Lanus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lanus a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Lanus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lanus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus Sarmiento de La Banda
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.09 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Copa Argentina
Lanus vs Sarmiento de La Banda
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 95 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus Sarmiento de La Banda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lanus scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Lanus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sarmiento de La Banda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Sarmiento de La Banda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 7

Sarmiento de La Banda

(Away)
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club -
Boca Juniors -
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Semi-finals
Banfield -
TBD -
Atl. Tucuman -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -