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Lanusei Calcio vs Citta di Anagni

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lanusei Calcio play Citta di Anagni in the Serie D - Group G 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lanusei Calcio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Citta di Anagni averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Lanusei Calcio won 2, Citta di Anagni won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Lanusei Calcio and 1.19 for Citta di Anagni. This points to a Citta di Anagni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lanusei Calcio
27%
Draws
38%
Citta di Anagni
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Citta di Anagni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanusei Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Citta di Anagni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Lanusei Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Citta di Anagni Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanusei Calcio Citta di Anagni
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.64

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Citta di Anagni vs Lanusei Calcio
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Lanusei Calcio vs Citta di Anagni
1:2
Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Citta di Anagni vs Lanusei Calcio
0:1
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Lanusei Calcio vs Citta di Anagni
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanusei Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Floris M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Citta di Anagni Compare

Top Goalscorer Elefante S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanusei Calcio 36 / 100
Citta di Anagni 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanusei Calcio Citta di Anagni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Citta di Anagni or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lanusei Calcio attacking → ← attacking Citta di Anagni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanusei Calcio scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Citta di Anagni let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Lanusei Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Citta di Anagni lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 22
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00