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Lanzarote vs Arucas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sanchez Rodriguez T.
16' Event
Ibrahin P.
Own Goal
32' Event
Gopar M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Lanzarote and Arucas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lanzarote
17%
Draws
13%
Arucas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lanzarote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Lanzarote taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lanzarote have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
Arucas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote Arucas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Arucas
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Lanzarote
3:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Arucas
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Lanzarote
2:3
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Arucas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Rodriguez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gopar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Perera K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 77 / 100
Arucas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote Arucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arucas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Lanzarote has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lanzarote's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS Arucas
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1
Lanzarote
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1
UD San Fernando
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0
Lanzarote
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Arucas

(Away)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)