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Laos U23 vs Macau U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Phanthavong P.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Douangvilay K.
81' Event
Huang C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Laos U23
20%
Draws
0%
Macau U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Laos U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Laos U23 have won more games recently than Macau U23.
  • Model gives Laos U23 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Laos U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Laos U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Laos U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos U23 Macau U23
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 29
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.26 4.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.33 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Laos U23 vs Macau U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Douangvilay K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.56
Avg xA / game 1.67

Macau U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos U23 84 / 100
Macau U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos U23 Macau U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laos U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Macau U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Laos U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Laos U23 VS Macau U23
1 Goals Scored 0.17
2.88 Goals Conceded 5.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Laos U23
0 : 7
South Korea U23
03 Sept
Indonesia U23
0 : 0
Laos U23
19 Jul
Laos U23
0 : 3
Vietnam U23
16 Jul
Cambodia U23
1 : 1
Laos U23
Page 1 of 6

Macau U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams