Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laos U23 vs Thailand U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Poeiphimai T.
52' Event
Arbram K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Thailand U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Laos U23
20%
Draws
44%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thailand U23 come out ahead of Laos U23 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Thailand U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thailand U23, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thailand U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Laos U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 27 41
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Laos U23 vs Thailand U23
0:1
Feb 24, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Laos U23 vs Thailand U23
0:2
Oct 28, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Laos U23 vs Thailand U23
0:3
Dec 3, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Laos U23 vs Thailand U23
0:2
May 29, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Laos U23 vs Thailand U23
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poeiphimai T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos U23 34 / 100
Thailand U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos U23 Thailand U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Laos U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Thailand U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Laos U23 scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Laos U23 VS Thailand U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Laos U23
0 : 7
South Korea U23
03 Sept
Indonesia U23
0 : 0
Laos U23
19 Jul
Laos U23
0 : 3
Vietnam U23
16 Jul
Cambodia U23
1 : 1
Laos U23
Page 1 of 6

Thailand U23

(Away)
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Laos U23 0
Thailand U23 2
Timor-Leste U23 0
Vietnam U23 1
Final
Thailand U23 0
Vietnam U23 1
Laos U23 -
Timor-Leste U23 -