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Stadium Background

Laos vs Nepal

World World

World Championship 2026 New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Dangi M.
45'
Siphongphan A.
49'
Henjan D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Nepal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Laos
15%
Draws
21%
Nepal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Laos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Laos haven't matched Nepal's recent run of results.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Nepal taking it.
  • Nepal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nepal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%
Nepal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Nepal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Laos
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Laos vs Nepal
2:1
Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Laos vs Nepal
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Nepal vs Laos
1:1
Mar 31, 2023 Friendly International
Nepal vs Laos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nepal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dangi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 10 / 100
Nepal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Nepal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Laos scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Nepal let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nepal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Nepal
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
Page 1 of 6

Nepal

(Away)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Afghanistan 2
Mongolia 0
Maldives 2
Bangladesh 3
Singapore 3
Guam 1
Yemen 4
Sri Lanka 1
Myanmar 5
Macau 1
Cambodia 0
Pakistan 1
Chinese Taipei 7
Timor-Leste 0
Indonesia 12
Brunei 0
Hong Kong 4
Bhutan 2
Nepal 2
Laos 1