Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Tervarit

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
15%
Draws
21%
Tervarit
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lapuan Virkia Lapua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Lapuan Virkia Lapua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Lapuan Virkia Lapua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lapuan Virkia Lapua, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Clean Sheet 10%
Tervarit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lapuan Virkia Lapua Tervarit
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 0
Draws 1 6
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 1.4 0.63
Goals Conceded 5.07 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2005 Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Tervarit
4:3
Oct 1, 2005 Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs
Tervarit vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lapuan Virkia Lapua 30 / 100
Tervarit 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Tervarit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tervarit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tervarit conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lapuan Virkia Lapua scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Tervarit has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lapuan Virkia Lapua VS Tervarit
1.38 Goals Scored 0
5.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lapuan Virkia Lapua

(Home)
29 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 4
JS Hercules
11 Apr
LappBK
1 : 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
13 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
2 : 5
GBK Kokkola
16 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 7
AC Oulu
01 Oct
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 9
AC Kajaani
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Tervarit

(Away)
26 Apr
Tervarit
0 : 2
VPS
05 Oct
PS Kemi
4 : 1
Tervarit
29 Sept
Tervarit
1 : 1
PK-37
22 Sept
YPA
7 : 1
Tervarit
14 Sept
Tervarit
0 : 3
SJK Akatemia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Helsingin Ponnistus 1
Vaajakoski 3
Tervarit 3
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 6