Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lara vs Atletico El Vigia

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Annese L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Lara and Atletico El Vigia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lara
15%
Draws
32%
Atletico El Vigia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lara Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lara Atletico El Vigia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
3:0
Jul 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:2
Aug 24, 2016 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lara Compare

Top Goalscorer Annese L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lara 95 / 100
Atletico El Vigia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lara Atletico El Vigia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lara scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Lara has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico El Vigia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lara VS Atletico El Vigia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lara

(Home)
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
06 Sept
Urena
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

Atletico El Vigia

(Away)
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
09 Sept
Atletico Barinas
5 : 2
Atletico El Vigia
02 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
30 Aug
Urena
0 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 26 13 8 5 45:27 47
3 Urena 27 12 9 6 41:31 45
4 Zamora 2 26 10 7 9 40:35 37
5 Yaracuyanos 26 10 7 9 31:27 37
6 Atletico El Vigia 27 9 6 12 31:44 33
7 Atletico Barinas 27 9 4 14 48:57 31
8 Academia Puerto Cabello B 27 8 6 13 35:39 30
9 Real Frontera 27 3 3 21 22:59 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 22 12 6 4 37:23 42
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Bolivar 23 11 4 8 28:26 37
4 Aragua 23 9 9 5 25:17 36
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 22 6 8 8 23:24 26
6 Mineros 23 4 9 10 25:29 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 22 2 10 10 12:28 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)