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Lara vs Urena

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lara have averaged 1.43 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Urena's 1.45 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Lara have won 0 to Urena's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 24, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Lara. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Lara
30%
Draws
51%
Urena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Urena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lara lately — more wins on the board than Urena.
  • Model gives Urena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Lara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Urena, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lara Clean Sheet 16%
Urena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lara Urena
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Urena vs Lara
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Urena
2:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:0
Jul 17, 2016 Liga FUTVE
Lara vs Urena
1:2
Feb 14, 2016 Liga FUTVE
Urena vs Lara
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lara 28 / 100
Urena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lara Urena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lara scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Urena let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Lara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lara VS Urena
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lara

(Home)
02 Aug
Lara
2 : 2
Yaracuyanos
29 Jul
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 1
Lara
25 Jul
Lara
4 : 1
Atletico Barinas
24 Jun
Urena
1 : 0
Lara
06 Jun
Lara
2 : 3
Urena
Page 1 of 6

Urena

(Away)
09 Aug
Urena
1 : 1
Barquisimeto
03 Aug
Zamora 2
2 : 2
Urena
29 Jul
Urena
1 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello B
25 Jul
Real Frontera
1 : 5
Urena
24 Jun
Urena
1 : 0
Lara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Deportivo Miranda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Avila 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Atletico Barinas 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Real Frontera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Atletico El Vigia 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yaracuyanos 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Aragua 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Caracas 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Barquisimeto 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urena 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Trujillanos 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Rayo Zuliano 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Lara 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Mineros 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Bolivar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams