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Lara vs Urena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lara have averaged 1.72 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Urena's 1.28 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Lara have won 1 to Urena's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.56, favoring Lara. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lara
20%
Draws
29%
Urena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lara lately — more wins on the board than Urena.
  • Model gives Lara a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Lara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Urena, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lara Clean Sheet 20%
Urena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lara Urena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Urena vs Lara
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Urena
2:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:0
Jul 17, 2016 Liga FUTVE
Lara vs Urena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lara 85 / 100
Urena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lara Urena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lara scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Urena let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lara VS Urena
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lara

(Home)
07 Oct
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 2
Lara
04 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 1
Lara
30 Sept
Lara
4 : 0
Real Frontera
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
Page 1 of 6

Urena

(Away)
07 Oct
Urena
2 : 2
Trujillanos
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
20 Sept
Urena
0 : 3
Zamora 2
17 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 3
Urena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams