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Largs Thistle vs Dalbeattie Star

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
McVey L.
Assist: Aird A.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Largs Thistle and Dalbeattie Star finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Largs Thistle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Largs Thistle
15%
Draws
0%
Dalbeattie Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Largs Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Largs Thistle come out ahead of Dalbeattie Star on wins alone.
  • Largs Thistle are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Largs Thistle Clean Sheet 20%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Largs Thistle Dalbeattie Star
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 7 0
Draws 2 5
Losses 2 24
Goals Scored 1.36 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.91 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Lowland League
Largs Thistle vs Dalbeattie Star
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Largs Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer McVey L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dalbeattie Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Largs Thistle 85 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Largs Thistle Dalbeattie Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Largs Thistle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Largs Thistle's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dalbeattie Star conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Dalbeattie Star has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Largs Thistle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Largs Thistle VS Dalbeattie Star
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Largs Thistle

(Home)
26 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Largs Thistle
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Largs Thistle
29 Aug
Largs Thistle
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 3

Dalbeattie Star

(Away)
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)