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Largs Thistle vs Johnstone Burgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gilmour J.

AI Match Summary

Largs Thistle in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Largs Thistle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Largs Thistle
20%
Draws
40%
Johnstone Burgh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Largs Thistle have won more games recently than Johnstone Burgh.
  • Johnstone Burgh are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Largs Thistle Clean Sheet 14%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Largs Thistle Johnstone Burgh
Matches Played 12 15
Wins 8 7
Draws 2 3
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.33 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Lowland League
Largs Thistle vs Johnstone Burgh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Largs Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilmour J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Johnstone Burgh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Largs Thistle 23 / 100
Johnstone Burgh 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Largs Thistle Johnstone Burgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Largs Thistle found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (12 games).

Johnstone Burgh let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Largs Thistle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Largs Thistle VS Johnstone Burgh
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Largs Thistle

(Home)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Largs Thistle
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Largs Thistle
Page 1 of 3

Johnstone Burgh

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)