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Larne Technical Old Boys vs Downpatrick

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Larne Technical Old Boys advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Larne Technical Old Boys
15%
Draws
21%
Downpatrick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne Technical Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Larne Technical Old Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Larne Technical Old Boys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Larne Technical Old Boys have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne Technical Old Boys, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Larne Technical Old Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Downpatrick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Technical Old Boys Downpatrick
Matches Played 18 13
Wins 11 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.78 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2011 Irish Cup
Larne Technical Old Boys vs Downpatrick
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne Technical Old Boys 85 / 100
Downpatrick 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Technical Old Boys Downpatrick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Technical Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne Technical Old Boys found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (18 games).

Downpatrick let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Larne Technical Old Boys stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne Technical Old Boys VS Downpatrick
3.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne Technical Old Boys

(Home)
30 Nov
Belfast Celtic
2 : 1
Larne Technical Old Boys
02 Nov
Tobermore
1 : 3
Larne Technical Old Boys
28 Sept
Suffolk
1 : 4
Larne Technical Old Boys
02 Mar
Warrenpoint
3 : 1
Larne Technical Old Boys
02 Feb
Larne Technical Old Boys
3 : 1
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 4

Downpatrick

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Marys
3 : 1
Downpatrick
09 Nov
Newry City
1 : 0
Downpatrick
19 Nov
Larne Technical Old Boys
2 : 0
Downpatrick
23 Oct
Downpatrick
0 : 4
Nortel
18 Sept
Downpatrick
2 : 1
Drumaness
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4