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Larne vs Bangor FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Rodriguez J. In: Lynch H.
Out: Rodriguez J.
15'
Harrison L.
25'
Mitchell A.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Larne and Bangor FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Larne
15%
Draws
18%
Bangor FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Larne a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Larne here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Larne Clean Sheet 68%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Bangor FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Bangor FC
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Bangor FC
2:1
Nov 4, 2025 Irish League Cup
Larne vs Bangor FC
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Bangor FC
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Larne
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Sloan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bangor FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 95 / 100
Bangor FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Bangor FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor FC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Larne found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Bangor FC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
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Bangor FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Glentoran 10 5 1 4 15:10 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)