Sport Picks

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Larne vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne host Coleraine in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Coleraine have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Larne have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Larne have won 2 to Coleraine's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.75) point toward Coleraine. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Larne
15%
Draws
42%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Coleraine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Larne Clean Sheet 12%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Coleraine
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.6 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Larne
0:0
Jul 3, 2026 Charity Shield
Larne vs Coleraine
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Larne
2:1
Jan 2, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 35 / 100
Coleraine 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Coleraine conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Coleraine
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)