Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Inver Park, Larne
Larne Logo

Larne

1 - 4
FT
Coleraine Logo

Coleraine

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Shevlin M.
33'
Bent D.
42' Event
Ryan A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Larne and Coleraine finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Larne
30%
Draws
54%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Coleraine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Larne are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Larne Clean Sheet 68%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Coleraine
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.52 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Larne
0:0
Jul 3, 2026 Charity Shield
Larne vs Coleraine
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Larne
2:1
Jan 2, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevlin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wylie B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 50 / 100
Coleraine 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coleraine conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Larne has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Coleraine
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0
Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Larne
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0
Iberia 1999
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0
Larne
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4
Crvena zvezda
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Coleraine

(Away)
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0
Larne
08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3
Coleraine
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Larne 38 25 8 5 73:26 83
2 Coleraine 38 25 5 8 83:37 80
3 Glentoran 38 23 8 7 73:38 77
4 Linfield 38 19 9 10 61:33 66
5 Cliftonville 38 15 8 15 55:59 53
6 Dungannon 38 15 1 22 42:77 46
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)