Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Crumlin United

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2022/2023 Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bonis L.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Millar L.
90' Event
Gordon S.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this Irish Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Larne
15%
Draws
14%
Crumlin United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Larne have won more games recently than Crumlin United.
  • Larne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Larne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Crumlin United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Crumlin United
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 21 14
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Irish Cup
Larne vs Crumlin United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Millar L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gordon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Crumlin United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 85 / 100
Crumlin United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Crumlin United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Larne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Larne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

Crumlin United

(Away)
13 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 5
Cliftonville
05 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 8
Ballyclare
27 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 4
Crusaders
16 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 8
Cliftonville
10 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 0
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dundela 0
Cliftonville 5
Coleraine 3
Loughgall 1
Knockbreda 2
St. Marys 0
Dungannon 3
Ards 1
Bangor FC 4
Tandragee 0
Crusaders 6
Dergview 0
Portadown 2
Banbridge 0
Moyola 0
Glentoran 2
Ballinamallard 1
Glenavon 2
Newry City 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Larne 3
Crumlin United 0
Linfield 3
Warrenpoint 0
Institute 4
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 1
Dollingstown 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Ballymena 2
Newington FC 2
Ballymoney 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 3
Coleraine 2
Knockbreda 1
Dungannon 2
Bangor FC 1
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Glentoran 3
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Linfield 1
Institute 0
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 4
Newington FC 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Crusaders 1
Glentoran 0
Harland & Wolff 0
Larne 1
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 3
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Crusaders 1
Larne 0
Ballymena 2
Final
Crusaders 4
Ballymena 0