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Larne vs Dungannon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne host Dungannon in the NIFL Premiership. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Dungannon have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Larne have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Larne have won 3 to Dungannon's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 8:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.94, favoring Larne. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Larne
15%
Draws
26%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Larne have won more games recently than Dungannon.
  • Win probability leans Larne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Dungannon
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Dungannon
8:0
Mar 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Dungannon
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Larne
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Larne
2:0
Apr 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Larne
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 85 / 100
Dungannon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Dungannon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Larne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Dungannon
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
24 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Larne
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
10 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 3
Larne
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Dungannon

(Away)
24 Oct
Dungannon
1 : 3
Cliftonville
20 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Dungannon
17 Oct
Bangor FC
0 : 0
Dungannon
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 13 11 1 1 31:12 34
2 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
3 Larne 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
4 Glentoran 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
5 Carrick Rangers 13 5 3 5 22:20 18
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Cliftonville 13 5 0 8 16:16 15
8 Crusaders 13 5 0 8 16:28 15
9 Dungannon 12 4 2 6 12:17 14
10 Limavady 12 4 1 7 12:18 13
11 Portadown 13 2 2 9 11:23 8
12 Bangor FC 13 1 3 9 11:26 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)