Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Linfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne host Linfield in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Linfield have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Larne have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.13) back Larne to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Larne
15%
Draws
39%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Larne come out ahead of Linfield on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Larne's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Linfield Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Linfield
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Larne
0:2
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Linfield
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Larne
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Linfield
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Linfield
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 58 / 100
Linfield 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Linfield conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Linfield
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)