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Larne vs Portadown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne host Portadown in the NIFL Premiership. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Portadown have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Larne have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Larne have won 4 to Portadown's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 0.88, favoring Larne. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Larne
20%
Draws
20%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Larne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Portadown
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Larne
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Larne
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
4:0
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Larne vs Portadown
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 85 / 100
Portadown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portadown conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Larne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Larne found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Portadown
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
10 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 3
Larne
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

Portadown

(Away)
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Portadown
3 : 1
Limavady
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 11 9 1 1 23:10 28
2 Linfield 10 8 1 1 14:6 25
3 Larne 7 6 1 0 15:3 19
4 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
5 Carrick Rangers 11 5 1 5 19:17 16
6 Crusaders 11 5 0 6 15:21 15
7 Dungannon 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
8 Ballymena 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
9 Cliftonville 11 4 0 7 12:13 12
10 Limavady 10 4 0 6 11:16 12
11 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
12 Bangor FC 11 1 2 8 10:24 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)