Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne W vs Crusaders W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025 Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Johnston H.
16' Event
Clare S.
24' Event
McDaid M.

AI Match Summary

Crusaders W in this Premiership Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crusaders W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Larne W
15%
Draws
85%
Crusaders W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crusaders W lately — more wins on the board than Larne W.
  • Crusaders W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premiership Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Crusaders W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne W Crusaders W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.72 1.7
Goals Conceded 4.21 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:2
Sep 4, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:0
May 1, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:2
Sep 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnston H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clare S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDaid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McMaster A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne W 10 / 100
Crusaders W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne W Crusaders W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crusaders W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Larne W scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Crusaders W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne W VS Crusaders W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
4.63 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne W

(Home)
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
14 Aug
Larne W
1 : 7
Glentoran W
07 Aug
Larne W
0 : 8
Cliftonville W
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Crusaders W

(Away)
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
07 Aug
Glentoran W
5 : 1
Crusaders W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Glentoran W 14 13 0 1 57:10 39
2 Cliftonville W 14 12 1 1 42:6 37
3 Linfield W 14 10 1 3 59:19 31
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 7 0 7 24:26 21
5 Crusaders W 14 6 0 8 24:37 18
6 Derry City W 14 4 0 10 17:35 12
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 1 12 5:44 4
8 Larne W 14 1 1 12 10:61 4
Promotion - Premiership Women 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women 2025 (Relegation Group)