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Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025 Inver Park
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hall J.
74' Event
Parker E.

AI Match Summary

Larne W host Lisburn Ladies W in the Premiership Women 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Larne W at 0.75 goals for, 3.63 against; Lisburn Ladies W at 1 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, Larne W have won 0 to Lisburn Ladies W's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 2.31) back Lisburn Ladies W to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Larne W
28%
Draws
50%
Lisburn Ladies W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lisburn Ladies W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lisburn Ladies W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Larne W.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Lisburn Ladies W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiership Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Ladies W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne W Lisburn Ladies W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:2
May 8, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Larne W
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W
0:2
Sep 5, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Larne W
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lisburn Ladies W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parker E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne W 22 / 100
Lisburn Ladies W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne W Lisburn Ladies W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne W scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Lisburn Ladies W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Larne W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Lisburn Ladies W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne W VS Lisburn Ladies W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%