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Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

21' Event
Diaz A.
49' Event
Delgado D.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Las Palmas C
35%
Draws
30%
Lanzarote
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lanzarote haven't matched Las Palmas C's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Las Palmas C's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 68%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas C Lanzarote
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Las Palmas C
1:1
Jan 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Sep 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delgado D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lanzarote Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 50 / 100
Lanzarote 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas C Lanzarote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas C found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Lanzarote's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Las Palmas C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas C VS Lanzarote
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas C

(Home)
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
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Lanzarote

(Away)
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)