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Las Palmas C vs Panaderia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

61' Event
Leon I.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Las Palmas C
20%
Draws
40%
Panaderia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Las Palmas C average 1.57 goals a game right now, well clear of Panaderia's 1.4.
  • Win probability leans Las Palmas C's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 20%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas C Panaderia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Panaderia
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Las Palmas C
2:3
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Panaderia
1:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Las Palmas C
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Panaderia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 67 / 100
Panaderia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas C Panaderia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Las Palmas C scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Panaderia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Las Palmas C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas C VS Panaderia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas C

(Home)
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 6

Panaderia

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)