Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Las Palmas vs Gijon

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Garcia A.
Assist: Miyashiro T.
46'
Sub
Vazquez K. In: Campos G.
Out: Vazquez K.
67'
Sub
Rodriguez M. In: Smith J.
Out: Rodriguez M.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Las Palmas
15%
Draws
42%
Gijon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Las Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gijon at 1.66 per game, Las Palmas at 1.38.
  • Model gives Las Palmas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 12%
Gijon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Gijon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Gijon
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Las Palmas
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Gijon
1:1
Dec 3, 2022 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Las Palmas
0:1
May 29, 2022 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Las Palmas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gijon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 40 / 100
Gijon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Gijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gijon let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Gijon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Gijon
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
08 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 3
Las Palmas
31 Jul
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Neom SC
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
25 Jul
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
22 Jul
Orlando Pirates
1 : 0
Las Palmas
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Gijon

(Away)
08 Aug
Gijon
2 : 4
Valladolid
07 Aug
Racing Santander
4 : 1
Gijon
01 Aug
Gijon
5 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Gijon
18 Jul
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Gijon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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