Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Las Palmas vs Leiria

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Munoz J.
19' Event
Fernandez P.
54' Event
Miyashiro T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Las Palmas and Leiria finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Las Palmas
15%
Draws
28%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Las Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Las Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Las Palmas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 18%
Leiria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Leiria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Las Palmas vs Leiria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyashiro T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Betancor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leiria Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 76 / 100
Leiria 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Leiria has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Las Palmas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Leiria
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
16 Aug
Las Palmas
2 : 1
Albacete
08 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 3
Las Palmas
31 Jul
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Neom SC
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
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Leiria

(Away)
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
09 Aug
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
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