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Las Palmas vs Leiria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Munoz J.
19' Event
Fernandez P.
54' Event
Miyashiro T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Las Palmas and Leiria finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Las Palmas
30%
Draws
51%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Las Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leiria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 16%
Leiria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Leiria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Las Palmas vs Leiria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyashiro T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Betancor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Leiria Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 15 / 100
Leiria 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Leiria has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Las Palmas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Leiria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2
Valladolid
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2
Las Palmas
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
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Leiria

(Away)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
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