Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

Las Tunas

5 - 2

FC Camaguey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Las Tunas in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Tunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Las Tunas

Draws

FC Camaguey

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Las Tunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Las Tunas haven't matched FC Camaguey's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Las Tunas taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Las Tunas Clean Sheet 20%

FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Las Tunas	FC Camaguey
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	12	16
Draws	6	6
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional

Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

5:2

May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Camaguey vs Las Tunas

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional

Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Camaguey vs Las Tunas

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional

Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Tunas 85 / 100

FC Camaguey 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Las Tunas FC Camaguey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Las Tunas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Las Tunas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: FC Camaguey has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Tunas VS FC Camaguey

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75

38% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8