Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Las Tunas in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Tunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Las Tunas
20%
Draws
38%
FC Ciego de Avila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Tunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Tunas lately — more wins on the board than FC Ciego de Avila.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Las Tunas taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Tunas FC Ciego de Avila
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
4:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Tunas 49 / 100
FC Ciego de Avila 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Tunas FC Ciego de Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Tunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Tunas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: FC Ciego de Avila conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Las Tunas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Tunas VS FC Ciego de Avila
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Tunas

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0
Las Tunas
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2
FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1
Las Tunas
10 May
Las Tunas
3 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 7

FC Ciego de Avila

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2
FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0
Las Tunas
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1
FC Camaguey
24 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)