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Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive

USA USA

USL Championship Cashman Field
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mendez A.
Assist: Rubin R.
43'
Mines B.
45' Event
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Antonoglou T.

AI Match Summary

El Paso Locomotive in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Paso Locomotive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Las Vegas Lights
40%
Draws
29%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • El Paso Locomotive have won more games recently than Las Vegas Lights.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and El Paso Locomotive have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 19%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Vegas Lights El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
3:2
Aug 3, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
6:0
May 25, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Vegas Lights Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quezada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Vegas Lights 32 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Vegas Lights El Paso Locomotive

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Las Vegas Lights scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

El Paso Locomotive has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Las Vegas Lights remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Vegas Lights VS El Paso Locomotive
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515