Sport Picks

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Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots

USA USA

USL Championship Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Las Vegas Lights host Oakland Roots in the USL Championship. This one's hard to separate. Oakland Roots have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Las Vegas Lights have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Las Vegas Lights have won 0 to Oakland Roots's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Las Vegas Lights. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Las Vegas Lights
6%
Draws
4%
Oakland Roots
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Las Vegas Lights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Vegas Lights lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
  • Las Vegas Lights are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 19%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
0:2
Apr 23, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights
4:2
Oct 12, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Vegas Lights 85 / 100
Oakland Roots 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Vegas Lights's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Oakland Roots's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Las Vegas Lights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Vegas Lights VS Oakland Roots
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Vegas Lights

(Home)
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3
Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6

Oakland Roots

(Away)
26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Sacramento Republic
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0
Oakland Roots
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1
Oakland Roots
21 Jun
Phoenix Rising
3 : 4
Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay17105228:1535
2Charleston1783632:2427
3Detroit City1683523:1527
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1672719:1923
6Rhode Island1564525:1822
7Indy Eleven1563618:1721
8Miami FC1856722:2921
9Hartford Athletic1648412:1420
10Loudoun United1629519:2915
11Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
12Brooklyn FC1634917:2713
13Sporting Jax18151223:468
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1787227:1931
2San Antonio FC1777322:1928
3Colorado Springs1674528:2325
4New Mexico1473419:1524
5Sacramento Republic1565419:1523
6FC Tulsa1565418:1623
7Lexington1664624:2022
8El Paso Locomotive1664627:2522
9Las Vegas Lights1663724:2621
10Phoenix Rising1756623:2421
11Oakland Roots1756625:2721
12Monterey Bay17431017:2715
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)