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Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV
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Match Events

44'
Prentice W.
52'
Sub
Tingey K. In: de Vicente J.
Out: Tingey K.
61'
Sub
Locker C. In: Leal P.
Out: Locker C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Las Vegas Lights
30%
Draws
37%
Oakland Roots
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Vegas Lights lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
  • Las Vegas Lights are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 20%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
0:0
Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
0:2
Apr 23, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights
4:2
Oct 12, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Vegas Lights 42 / 100
Oakland Roots 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Vegas Lights's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Oakland Roots's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Las Vegas Lights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Vegas Lights VS Oakland Roots
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Vegas Lights

(Home)
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Oakland Roots

(Away)
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)