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LASK Linz vs Ried - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sissoko P.
Assist: Schwab S.
10' Event
Adeniran S.
Assist: Usor M.
18' Event
Usor M.
Assist: Andrade A.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between LASK Linz and Ried finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LASK Linz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LASK Linz
30%
Draws
37%
Ried
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • LASK Linz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Ried taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 12%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LASK Linz Ried
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.82 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Ried
4:1
Mar 18, 2026 OFB Cup
Ried vs LASK Linz
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs LASK Linz
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Ried
1:3
Mar 21, 2025 Club Friendly
LASK Linz vs Ried
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LASK Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeniran S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Usor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Sissoko P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LASK Linz 19 / 100
Ried 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LASK Linz Ried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LASK Linz's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ried has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

LASK Linz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LASK Linz VS Ried
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LASK Linz

(Home)
02 Oct
LASK Linz
2 : 1
First Vienna
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
1 : 6
LASK Linz
Page 1 of 6

Ried

(Away)
02 Oct
Ried
3 : 3
Amstetten
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)