Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lasnamae vs Saku Sporting

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tasso S.
29' Event
Ljapin I.
69' Event
Kobjakov A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Lasnamae advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Lasnamae
15%
Draws
78%
Saku Sporting
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Saku Sporting carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saku Sporting a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Saku Sporting arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lasnamae, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lasnamae Clean Sheet 10%
Saku Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lasnamae Saku Sporting
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.06 2.1
Goals Conceded 3.35 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 3.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2013 Estonian Cup
Lasnamae vs Saku Sporting
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lasnamae Compare

Top Goalscorer Tasso S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ljapin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

Saku Sporting Compare

Avg xG / game 2.8
Avg xA / game 1.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lasnamae 10 / 100
Saku Sporting 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lasnamae Saku Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saku Sporting's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Lasnamae's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lasnamae stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lasnamae VS Saku Sporting
0.8 Goals Scored 1.75
4.4 Goals Conceded 3.75
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lasnamae

(Home)
11 Nov
Lasnamae
2 : 5
Voru Helios
03 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
4 : 1
Lasnamae
27 Oct
Lasnamae
1 : 7
Tammeka Tartu II
20 Oct
Lasnamae
0 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
13 Oct
Parnu
6 : 0
Lasnamae
Page 1 of 7

Saku Sporting

(Away)
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7
Saku Sporting
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1
Legion
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0
Saku Sporting
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2
Marjamaa Kompanii
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn 9
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Tallinna Kalev 5
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
TBD -
TBD -
Smuuli -
Igiliikur 1
FC KIIU 0
TBD -
FC Tartu -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Taaksi -
Trummi 7
Helios 4
Pokkeriprod 1
FC Ararat 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Pirita -
Merkuur Tartu -
Lasnamae 5
Saku Sporting 0
TBD -
Puuma -
Tammeka Tartu II 4
Soccernet 0
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Elva 1
Ambla 5
Loo JK 3
Rakvere Wiswald 0
FCI Tallinn II 7
Vaatsa Vald -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Tartu Harrastajad 0
Saue JK Laagri 9
Flora 18
Reaal 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Imavere Forss 4
Tapa 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 4
Kalju 14
Puhajarve Revali 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Nomme -
Lihula JK 7
Lelle 1
Voru 0
Levadia 11
Viimsi JK 4
Kaitseliit 0
Jogeva 1
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Metropool Parnu 1
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Legion -
Kose JK -
Ganvix Turi 0
Eston Villa 1
Navi Vutiselts 5
Kaitseliit II 1
Torva JK 1
Tartu SK 10 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Kalju III 1
TBD -
FC Balteco -
Tartu Ulikool -
Taebla -
Dinamo Tallinn 1
Otepaa 2
Nomme Utd 1
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Haiba -
Shnelli 3
Raudteetoolised 2
Parnu-Jaagupi -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kuressaare 3
Kadakas 0
Roosad Pantrid 1
JK Poseidon 8
Oismae Torm 4
Eesti Vaitlusselts 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Tartu SK 10 II 4
Maccabi 2
TBD -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Twister Tallinn 0
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 4
Kose 1
Leisi 2
FC Lootos Polva 5
Rapla 6
Donkers 0
Kalju II 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 11
Retro 1
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tartu Tehased 3
Eestimaa Kasakad 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
Santos Tartu 3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Viimsi MRJK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 5
Smuuli 1
Igiliikur 0
FC Tartu 4
Tartu JK Welco 5
SK Taaksi 2
Trummi 1
FC Ararat 2
Jarva-Jaani 2
Merkuur Tartu 0
Lasnamae 1
Puuma 5
Tammeka Tartu II 2
Elva 1
Ambla 1
FCI Tallinn II 8
Vaatsa Vald 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
IAFA Estonia 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
Flora 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Imavere Forss 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 14
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Lihula JK 0
Levadia 8
Viimsi JK 1
Ulikool Tallinn 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Legion 8
Eston Villa 0
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tartu SK 10 7
Parnu Linnameeskond 7
FC Balteco 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Otepaa 3
Nomme Utd 7
Haiba 1
Shnelli 0
Johvi Phoenix 13
Kuressaare 6
JK Poseidon 1
Oismae Torm 0
Tallinn Piraaja 6
Tartu SK 10 II -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 7
FC Lootos Polva 1
Rapla 0
Raasiku Joker 9
Narva 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Tartu Tehased 0
Santos Tartu 8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
FC Tartu 2
Tartu JK Welco 2
FC Ararat 1
Jarva-Jaani 1
Puuma 8
Tammeka Tartu II 2
FCI Tallinn II 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Saue JK Laagri 4
Flora 2
Tulevik 1
Kalju 1
Levadia 3
Viimsi JK 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Legion 1
Tartu SK 10 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Otepaa 1
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 6
Kuressaare 1
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Kivioli Irbis 5
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 0
Santos Tartu 1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
FC Tartu 1
Tartu JK Welco 3
Puuma 4
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora 0
Levadia 2
Viimsi JK 1
Tartu SK 10 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kivioli Irbis 0
Santos Tartu 11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Puuma 0
Tammeka Tartu II -
Levadia -
Viimsi JK 1
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kuressaare 1
Santos Tartu 3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn 0
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 1
Santos Tartu 3
Final
Levadia 4
Santos Tartu 0