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Latina vs Ostiamare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Plescia V.
41' Event
Vagnoni M.
45'
Baez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Latina
35%
Draws
32%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostiamare lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Latina Clean Sheet 21%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latina Ostiamare
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Latina vs Ostiamare
1:1
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Ostiamare
2:1
Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Latina vs Ostiamare
1:2
Sep 1, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Latina
2:2
Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Latina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Plescia V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Vagnoni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latina 37 / 100
Ostiamare 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latina Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latina scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ostiamare conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Latina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latina VS Ostiamare
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Latina

(Home)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)