Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Bacchin L.
66'
66'
De Ciancio R.
1'
1'
Manzari G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Latina in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Perugia haven't matched Latina's recent run of results.
- Model gives Latina a 40% chance of winning this.
- Latina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Perugia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Latina Clean Sheet 68%
Perugia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Latina | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Perugia
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Perugia
1:4
May 13, 2017 Serie B
Latina vs Perugia
2:2
Dec 24, 2016 Serie B
Perugia vs Latina
1:1
Mar 1, 2016 Serie B
Perugia vs Latina
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Latina Compare
Top Goalscorer De Ciancio R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bacchin L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Latina 95 / 100
Perugia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Latina Perugia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Latina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perugia let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Latina found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Latina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Latina VS Perugia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Latina
(Home) 16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1 Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0 Forli FC
29 Aug
Ravenna
3 : 1 Latina
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16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1 Guidonia 1937
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0 Forli FC
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0 Pineto
16 Aug
Latina
2 : 1 Ostiamare
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0 Casertana
Page 1 of 3
Perugia
(Away) 16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
29 Mar
Vis Pesaro
0 : 1 Perugia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
