Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sorgente S.

AI Match Summary

Latte Dolce in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latte Dolce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Latte Dolce
35%
Draws
13%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Latte Dolce lately — more wins on the board than Sarrabus Ogliastra.
  • Latte Dolce are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Latte Dolce have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 16%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latte Dolce Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.57 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:0
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:0
Jan 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Latte Dolce
0:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorgente S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latte Dolce 75 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latte Dolce Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latte Dolce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latte Dolce scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Sarrabus Ogliastra conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Latte Dolce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sarrabus Ogliastra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Latte Dolce VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Latte Dolce

(Home)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 6

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
2 Monastir 7 5 1 1 19:10 16
3 Paganese 7 4 1 2 17:9 13
4 Certosa V. Campagnano 7 4 1 2 10:4 13
5 Unipomezia 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
6 Ossese 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
7 Anzio Calcio 1924 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
8 Trastevere Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:12 11
9 Citta di Anagni 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 Aranova 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Albalonga 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
12 Afragolese 7 1 4 2 5:7 7
13 Gelbison 7 2 1 4 8:12 7
14 Budoni Calcio 7 2 1 4 10:16 7
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
16 Latte Dolce 7 1 2 4 8:13 5
17 US Venafro 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
18 Atl. Lodigiani 7 0 1 6 8:18 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)