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Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Loru L.

AI Match Summary

Latte Dolce in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latte Dolce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Latte Dolce
30%
Draws
23%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Latte Dolce lately — more wins on the board than Sarrabus Ogliastra.
  • Model gives Latte Dolce a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 68%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latte Dolce Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Latte Dolce
0:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Latte Dolce
2:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Latte Dolce
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Loru L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latte Dolce 68 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latte Dolce Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latte Dolce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Latte Dolce scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sarrabus Ogliastra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Latte Dolce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latte Dolce VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Latte Dolce

(Home)
13 Aug
Latte Dolce
2 : 1
Santa Teresa
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2
Sassari Torres
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
Page 1 of 6

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)