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Latvia U17 W vs Estonia U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
2 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Aleksandrova L.
Assist: Strause G.
21' Event
Pihlak G.
Assist: Kutt J.
31' Event
Stignere S.
Assist: Sniedzina E. A.

AI Match Summary

Latvia U17 W host Estonia U17 W in the Euro U17 Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Latvia U17 W have averaged 1.72 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Estonia U17 W's 1.61 scored and 2.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Latvia U17 W have won 2 to Estonia U17 W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.81, favoring Latvia U17 W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Latvia U17 W
15%
Draws
59%
Estonia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Latvia U17 W come out ahead of Estonia U17 W on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Estonia U17 W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Latvia U17 W Clean Sheet 11%
Estonia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U17 W Estonia U17 W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.61
Goals Conceded 2 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Estonia U17 W vs Latvia U17 W
0:2
Jun 28, 2023 Friendly International Women
Estonia U17 W vs Latvia U17 W
2:1
Jul 5, 2022 Friendly International Women
Latvia U17 W vs Estonia U17 W
2:0
Aug 19, 2012 Friendly International Women
Latvia U17 W vs Estonia U17 W
0:1
May 28, 2012 Friendly International Women
Estonia U17 W vs Latvia U17 W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksandrova L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stignere S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Estonia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pihlak G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U17 W 10 / 100
Estonia U17 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U17 W Estonia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estonia U17 W conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Latvia U17 W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Latvia U17 W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U17 W VS Estonia U17 W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U17 W

(Home)
07 Oct
Latvia U17 W
2 : 2
Lithuania U17 W
15 Mar
Latvia U17 W
1 : 4
Romania U17 W
12 Mar
Czech Republic U17 W
2 : 0
Latvia U17 W
09 Mar
Finland U17 W
7 : 0
Latvia U17 W
30 Oct
Kazakhstan U17 W
0 : 1
Latvia U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Estonia U17 W

(Away)
07 Oct
Estonia U17 W
3 : 1
Faroe Islands U17 W
02 Apr
Estonia U17 W
3 : 2
Malta U17 W
30 Mar
Lithuania U17 W
0 : 3
Estonia U17 W
27 Mar
Belarus U17 W
3 : 0
Estonia U17 W
23 Oct
Estonia U17 W
1 : 2
Greece U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U17 W 3 3 0 0 24:0 9
2 Albania U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Kosovo U17 W 3 1 1 1 8:9 4
4 Azerbaijan U17 W 3 0 0 3 5:31 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Andorra U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Armenia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Turkey U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Montenegro U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estonia U17 W 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Lithuania U17 W 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Latvia U17 W 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Faroe Islands U17 W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Georgia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luxembourg U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 North Macedonia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Wales U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moldova U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Greece U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Slovenia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Malta U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Serbia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)