Sport Picks

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Latvia U21 vs Lithuania U21

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup U21 2024
Thu, Jun 6, 2024
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Reingolcs R.
17'
Minins J.
22'
Melniks D.

AI Match Summary

Latvia U21 in this Baltic Cup U21 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Latvia U21
17%
Draws
13%
Lithuania U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Latvia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Lithuania U21.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Latvia U21 taking it.
  • Latvia U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Latvia U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Latvia U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U21 Lithuania U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 2
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Baltic Cup U21
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
2:2
Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
0:2
Jun 6, 2024 Baltic Cup U21
Latvia U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Baltic Cup U21
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
1:2
Jun 9, 2019 Friendly International
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnis B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U21 67 / 100
Lithuania U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Latvia U21 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Latvia U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U21 VS Lithuania U21
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Estonia U211
Finland U210
Latvia U212
Lithuania U211
Final
Estonia U213
Latvia U214
Finland U212
Lithuania U210