Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Latvia U21 vs Norway U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Orjasaeter S.
24'
Melkis R.
41'
Kudelkins A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Latvia U21 and Norway U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Latvia U21
30%
Draws
42%
Norway U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norway U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Norway U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Norway U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U21 Norway U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.07 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2024 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Norway U21
0:1
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Latvia U21
7:0
Oct 7, 1999 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Norway U21
2:1
Sep 4, 1998 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Latvia U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U21 34 / 100
Norway U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U21 Norway U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Latvia U21 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Norway U21 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Latvia U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U21 VS Norway U21
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Norway U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)