Sport Picks
Latvia vs Faroe Islands Prediction & H2H Stats
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Skonto stadions, Riga 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Edmundsson J. S. In: Mikkelsen M.
Out: Edmundsson J. S.
46'
46'
Sub
Vatnhamar S. In: Justinussen A.
Out: Vatnhamar S.
64'
64'
Varslavans R.
Assist: Gutkovskis V.
AI Match Summary
Latvia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latvia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Faroe Islands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Faroe Islands have won more games recently than Latvia.
- Model gives Faroe Islands a 56% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Latvia Clean Sheet 26%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Latvia | Faroe Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 9, 2026 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs Latvia
1:1
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Latvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Varslavans R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Faroe Islands Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Latvia 30 / 100
Faroe Islands 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Latvia Faroe Islands
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Faroe Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Faroe Islands conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Latvia scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Latvia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Latvia VS Faroe Islands
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Latvia
(Home) 02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2 Montenegro
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0 Cyprus
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0 Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1 Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2 Montenegro
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0 Cyprus
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1 Faroe Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0 Gibraltar
14 Oct
Latvia
0 : 5 England
Page 1 of 4
Faroe Islands
(Away) 02 Oct
Faroe Islands
1 : 1 Slovakia
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1 Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1 Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1 Faroe Islands
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1 Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2 Faroe Islands
14 Nov
Croatia
3 : 1 Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
