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Latvia vs Faroe Islands Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Veips R. In: Balodis D.
Out: Veips R.
46'
Sub
Chukwudi S. In: Svensson A.
Out: Chukwudi S.
46'
Sub
Regza M. In: Sits D.
Out: Regza M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Latvia
35%
Draws
56%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Faroe Islands have won more games recently than Latvia.
  • Win probability leans Faroe Islands's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Faroe Islands arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Latvia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Latvia Clean Sheet 26%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia Faroe Islands
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.55 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs Latvia
1:1
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorensen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 30 / 100
Faroe Islands 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia Faroe Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Faroe Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Faroe Islands conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Latvia scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Latvia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia VS Faroe Islands
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia

(Home)
02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands

(Away)
02 Oct
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Slovakia
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1
Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Estonia 1
Faroe Islands 0
Lithuania 2
Latvia 1
Final
Estonia 1
Lithuania 0
Faroe Islands 1
Latvia 0