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Latvia vs Liechtenstein

World World

Friendly International 2024 Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Oss M.
Own Goal
11' Event
Krollis R.
17'
Daskevics E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Latvia
15%
Draws
0%
Liechtenstein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Latvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Latvia have won more games recently than Liechtenstein.
  • Model gives Latvia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Latvia Clean Sheet 68%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia Liechtenstein
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.56 0.29
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Latvia vs Liechtenstein
1:1
Jun 14, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Latvia
0:2
Jun 6, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Liechtenstein
1:0
Mar 22, 2013 World Championship
Liechtenstein vs Latvia
1:1
Oct 16, 2012 World Championship
Latvia vs Liechtenstein
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Krollis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Liechtenstein Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 68 / 100
Liechtenstein 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia Liechtenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liechtenstein has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Liechtenstein has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Latvia's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia VS Liechtenstein
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia

(Home)
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
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Liechtenstein

(Away)
27 Sept
Malta
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
24 Sept
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Lithuania
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Andorra
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
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