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Latvia W vs Finland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Daugavas stadions, Riga
Latvia W Logo

Latvia W

0 - 1
FT
Finland W Logo

Finland W

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Nesterova S.
46'
Sub
Preijere N. In: Zaicikova V.
Out: Preijere N.
55'
Sub
Lehtola N. In: Raijas H.
Out: Lehtola N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Latvia W
15%
Draws
85%
Finland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Finland W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Finland W taking it.
  • Finland W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Finland W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 11%
Finland W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia W Finland W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Latvia W vs Finland W
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Latvia W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindstrom L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia W 10 / 100
Finland W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia W Finland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Finland W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Latvia W VS Finland W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

Finland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales W 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Czech Republic W 6 3 2 1 18:8 11
3 Albania W 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Montenegro W 6 0 1 5 6:23 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Turkey W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Northern Ireland W 6 2 0 4 10:9 6
4 Malta W 6 0 0 6 4:24 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal W 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Finland W 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
3 Slovakia W 6 2 0 4 8:17 6
4 Latvia W 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland W 6 4 2 0 24:2 14
2 Belgium W 6 4 2 0 22:1 14
3 Israel W 6 2 0 4 10:20 6
4 Luxembourg W 6 0 0 6 1:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)