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Latvia W vs Kosovo W

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UEFA Nations League Women LNK Sporta Parks
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AI Match Summary

Latvia W play Kosovo W in the UEFA Nations League Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Latvia W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Kosovo W averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Latvia W won 1, Kosovo W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 3, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Latvia W and 1.88 for Kosovo W. This points to a Kosovo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Latvia W
18%
Draws
47%
Kosovo W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Kosovo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Latvia W picked up more points recently compared to Kosovo W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 10%
Kosovo W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia W Kosovo W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Latvia W vs Kosovo W
2:2
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Kosovo W vs Latvia W
0:1
Apr 6, 2023 Friendly International Women
Kosovo W vs Latvia W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kosovo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smaili B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Memeti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia W 34 / 100
Kosovo W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia W Kosovo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kosovo W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Latvia W attacking → ← attacking Kosovo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kosovo W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Latvia W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kosovo W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 57
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovakia W660027:118
2Faroe Islands W631210:610
3Moldova W62136:67
4Gibraltar W60060:300
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Malta W64118:513
2Cyprus W63129:810
3Georgia W62049:116
4Andorra W61236:85
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Luxembourg W651020:616
2Kazakhstan W631214:910
3Armenia W621313:117
4Liechtenstein W60155:261
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montenegro W42205:28
2Azerbaijan W41213:65
3Lithuania W41036:63
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Israel W431012:510
2Estonia W41122:64
3Bulgaria W40224:72
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Latvia W42206:48
2Kosovo W42119:37
3North Macedonia W40132:101