Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Latvia W vs North Macedonia W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women LNK Sporta Parks
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Meijer S.
Assist: Andreevska L.
46'
Sub
Voitane S. In: Stube M.
Out: Voitane S.
54'
Mairna A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Latvia W
30%
Draws
34%
North Macedonia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latvia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Latvia W have won more games recently than North Macedonia W.
  • Win probability leans Latvia W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 20%
North Macedonia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia W North Macedonia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Euro Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
3:4
Sep 1, 2022 World Cup Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sevcova O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

North Macedonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Meijer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia W 36 / 100
North Macedonia W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia W North Macedonia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: North Macedonia W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Latvia W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

North Macedonia W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Latvia W VS North Macedonia W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia W660027:118
2Faroe Islands W631210:610
3Moldova W62136:67
4Gibraltar W60060:300
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malta W64118:513
2Cyprus W63129:810
3Georgia W62049:116
4Andorra W61236:85
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luxembourg W651020:616
2Kazakhstan W631214:910
3Armenia W621313:117
4Liechtenstein W60155:261
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro W42205:28
2Azerbaijan W41213:65
3Lithuania W41036:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Israel W431012:510
2Estonia W41122:64
3Bulgaria W40224:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Latvia W42206:48
2Kosovo W42119:37
3North Macedonia W40132:101