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Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bah K.
44'
Charveys A.
55'
Bakayoko A.

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lausanne Ouchy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lausanne Ouchy
30%
Draws
27%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona haven't matched Lausanne Ouchy's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lausanne Ouchy a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Lausanne Ouchy
0:3
Aug 7, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:0
Apr 7, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Lausanne Ouchy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lausanne Ouchy found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Rapperswil-Jona
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
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Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 7 3 0 20:3 24
2 Yverdon 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
3 Winterthur 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Kriens 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
5 Xamax 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
6 Aarau 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 10 3 1 6 15:19 10
8 Wil 10 2 4 4 16:22 10
9 Etoile-Carouge 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 1 2 7 8:24 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)