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Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy host Xamax in the Challenge League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Xamax have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Lausanne Ouchy have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor Lausanne Ouchy slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 0.81, favoring Lausanne Ouchy. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Lausanne Ouchy
20%
Draws
17%
Xamax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lausanne Ouchy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 20%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Xamax
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:0
Dec 10, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Xamax
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
Xamax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Xamax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Lausanne Ouchy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lausanne Ouchy scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Xamax
3 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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Xamax

(Away)
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
25 Sept
Zurich
3 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 7 3 0 20:3 24
2 Yverdon 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
3 Winterthur 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Kriens 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
5 Xamax 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
6 Aarau 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 10 3 1 6 15:19 10
8 Wil 10 2 4 4 16:22 10
9 Etoile-Carouge 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 1 2 7 8:24 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)