Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lausanne vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Lausanne Logo

Lausanne

1 - 3
FT
Luzern Logo

Luzern

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Roche J.
Assist: Sow K.
36'
Sow K.
45'
Custodio O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luzern in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lausanne
30%
Draws
23%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lausanne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzern have won more games recently than Lausanne.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Lausanne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 17%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Luzern
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
0:4
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
2:2
May 11, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasovic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne 66 / 100
Luzern 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lausanne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Luzern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Lausanne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne VS Luzern
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne

(Home)
14 Aug
Kosova Neuchatel
0 : 6
Lausanne
08 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 2
Young Boys
01 Aug
Basel
0 : 1
Lausanne
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0
Lausanne
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
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Luzern

(Away)
16 Aug
Buochs
0 : 3
Luzern
09 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 2
Luzern
02 Aug
Sion
3 : 0
Luzern
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Luzern 38 14 11 13 76:66 53
8 Servette 38 13 14 11 71:63 53
9 Lausanne 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
10 Zurich 38 11 5 22 49:72 38
11 Grasshoppers 38 8 9 21 48:74 33
12 Winterthur 38 5 8 25 44:100 23
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)