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Lavagnese vs Club Milano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lombardi A.
54' Event
Vedovati G.
63' Event
Dell'Acqua D.

AI Match Summary

Club Milano in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lavagnese
20%
Draws
64%
Club Milano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lavagnese haven't matched Club Milano's recent run of results.
  • Club Milano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Club Milano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Club Milano
2:4
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Club Milano vs Lavagnese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lombardi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albisetti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Club Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Vedovati G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dell'Acqua D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 22 / 100
Club Milano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Club Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Milano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lavagnese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Club Milano conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Club Milano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Club Milano
1.14 Goals Scored 2
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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Club Milano

(Away)
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
06 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)