Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laval vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mandouki C.
12'
Pinot A.
41' Event
Kouassi C.
Assist: Camara M.

AI Match Summary

Laval in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Laval.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Laval
22%
Draws
18%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Laval

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Laval average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Boulogne's 0.75.
  • Laval are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Laval have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laval Boulogne
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Boulogne
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Laval
1:2
Apr 25, 2022 Ligue 3
Laval vs Boulogne
1:0
Dec 3, 2021 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Laval
1:2
Apr 20, 2021 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Laval
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouassi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laval 68 / 100
Boulogne 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laval Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laval's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Boulogne conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Laval went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laval VS Boulogne
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Laval

(Home)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Laval
5 : 0
Quevilly
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)